802.15.4 IoT Markets
Zigbee, Thread, 6LoWPAN, Wi-SUN and Others

A Market Dynamics Report (14th edition)

Published: May 2018

Contributors:
Mareca Hatler, Darryl Gurganious and Jeff Kreegar

Pages: 110
(81 figures, 59 tables)

Table of Contents

ON World Research:
* Leading industry experts
* Primary investigation
* Actionable data
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Methodology

Testimonials

News:

4.5 Billion 802.15.4 Mesh Devices by 2023

Related Reports:

Wireless Sensor Networks
Smart Lighting

Smart Buildings
Smart Homes

Smart Industries





Price:
$3,500 - Multi-user/corporate - PDF & Excel

$2,500 - Single user - PDF


Synopsis:

Wireless mesh sensor network standards have made 802.15.4 the predominant networking technology for the Internet of Things. Z-Wave, Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) and low power WiFi have been unsuccessful at slowing 802.15.4 market penetration.

Half a billion 802.15.4 mesh chips have been sold for smart homes and buildings, metering, smart cities, industrial automation and other IoT markets. This success is demonstrated by leading consumer electronics manufacturers embedding 802.15.4 in smart speakers, routers and web cams as well as sensors, controllers and hubs.

Adoption of smart home 802.15.4 wireless sensor networks (WSN) increased faster than BLE last year despite growing interest in BLE by new developers and the completion of Bluetooth Mesh. Today, device makers can choose 802.15.4/BLE combo chips that add little to their costs while providing the benefits of BLE smart phone integration and the sophistication of 802.15.4 for WSN.


Plummeting chip costs combined with the emergence of combo chips has reduced the risk associated with developing IoT solutions. This has resulted in manufacturers using 802.15.4 in a variety of popular consumer products including WiFi routers by eero, Google, Samsung, TP-Link and Linksys; Nest’s Dropcam and CamIQ and Amazon’s Echo Plus voice-controlled speaker that is also a smart home hub.

It has also drawn new entrants to the 802.15.4 market such as Qualcomm and Nordic Semiconductor and resulted in several acquisitions. This is epitomized by Silicon Labs that has acquired half a dozen companies over the last few years including RTOS platform provider Micrium and Sigma Designs’ Z-Wave business.

By 2023, 4.5 billion cumulative 802.15.4 mesh devices will be sold worldwide. The majority of these will use smart home protocols such as Zigbee and Thread. However, other wireless mesh protocols such as Wi-SUN, JupiterMesh, WirelessHART and ISA100 Wireless have specific advantages for each of their respective markets including longer network range and high reliability.

For this report (14th edition), we did an exhaustive investigation of the 802.15.4 ecosystem including phone interviews and surveys with component suppliers, manufacturers, service providers and distributors targeting 20+ market segments. We provide 6-year market size forecasts by product design (e.g., chipset/module), technology, frequency, topology, geography, chipset/module revenues and average sale price.

The report also includes 802.15.4 chipset market shares, an in-depth value system analysis and 90+ company profiles.

 

Primary Research:

2500+ individuals including:

End Users
Consumers, home service providers, retailers, professional installers, utilities, manufacturers, oil and gas companies

Vendors/Experts
WSN chipset and module providers, stack licensors, device manufacturers, software developers and industry experts.

 


Free Executive Summary:
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Report Overview:

Target Markets:

• Market forces analysis of each of the major 802.15.4 markets including the following:

Smart Metering & Distributed Energy Resources
Smart Home
Entertainment RF Controls
Medical, Health & Wellness
Building Automation & Commercial Services
Industrial Automation, Logistics, Agriculture & Construction
Smart Cities

Retail, Automotive and Others

• Application areas, or solutions, across each of the target markets above:

Energy/Metering
Lighting
Audio/Video Controls
Health & Fitness
Safety, security and environmental monitoring
Condition monitoring/asset management
Others

Technologies & Standards

• Extensive technology evaluation on 802.15.4 and variations such as Zigbee, RF4CE, Thread, JupiterMesh, Wi-SUN, WirelessHART, ISA100 Wireless and others

• Competing alternatives such as Bluetooth, WiFi, Z-Wave, EnOcean, Sigfox and LoRa

• Standards developments, emerging trends, and what it means for your critical stategic planning.

Market Sizing (2017-2023)

• Total addressable market sizing for wireless sensing and control and associated low power wireless applications.

• Global market size forecasts on 802.15.4 RFIC/modules including the following breakdowns:

• Units
• Revenues
• Target Markets
• Application
• Protocol (Zigbee, RF4CE, Thread/6LoWPAN, Other 802.15.4)

• Design Type (chipset vs RF module)
• Topology
• Frequency
• Geography

• In-depth analysis on the average sale price (ASP) per 802.15.4 module (or the OEM cost equivalent for in-house chipset based designs)

The 802.15.4 Value System

Product segmentation: In-depth analysis and research data on over 100 companies that are having the biggest impact for the 802.15.4 market today in the following segments:

Chipsets
RF Modules/Network stacks
Devices/Systems
Software/Cloud services
IT/Automation Platforms

Market Shares: 802.15.4 chipset market shares by protocol

Disruption & Sustainability: for each major 802.15.4 Component Supplier

Each company was evaluated using the following criteria:

• Current offerings, products and services
• Financials, partners, go-to-market strategy
• Protocols supported, chipset design, frequencies, tools, integration, software, key features...
• Evaluation on potential for disruption based on innovation, pricing, etc.
• Evaluation on potential for sustainability based on financials, strategic alliances and current market shares


Primary Research:

For this report, ON World surveyed >2,500 individuals including the following:

End users:

Online consumers
Home service providers
Retailers
Professional installers
Property managers
Industrial manufacturers and oil and gas companies

Technology Companies:

Every quarter, ON World conducts hundreds of interviews with executives and product managers with leading manufacturers, software developers, component suppliers, and platform providers involved with low power wireless sensing and control markets.

A few of the surveyed/analyzed companies include:

Chipsets, Modules & Network Stacks: Accent, Adaptive Network Solutions, Analog Devices, Anaren, ARM, CEL, Cypress, DecaWave, Dresden Electronik, Digi, Exegin, Greenvity, Gridconnect, IDT, IMST, Laird, Lapis, Marvell, MEMSIC, Microchip, Millennial Net, MMB Networks, Murata, Nanotron, Nivis, Nordic, NXP, Panasonic, Qualcomm, Qorvo, ON Semiconductor, Radiocrafts, Renesas, RF Solutions, San Juan Software, Semtech, Silicon Labs, Skyley, Softing, STMicro, Synapse, Talon, Telit, TI, UBEC, Wisol, Zilog...

Devices, Software & Vertical Platforms: Actility, Arrayent, Ayla Networks, Berlinger, Care Innovations, CentraLite, Computime, Current (GE), Digital Lumens (Osram), Ecobee, EcoFactor, Enlighted, E-Senza, Kitu Systems, Helium, GreenWave, GEO, Golden Power, GridPoint, Idosens, Jetlun, Laserlight, Mesh Systems, Muzzley, Nest Labs, NetVox, Onzo, PTC, relayr, RCS, RF Technologies, Silver Spring Networks, Samsung SmartThings, Trilliant, Sunpower, Tendril, There Corp., ThinkEco, Tridium, Wink...

Multi-Market Platforms & Service Providers: ABB, Acuity Brands, Aclara, Amazon, AMX, AT&T, Belkin, Bosch, BG Hive, BP, Comcast, Control4, Cisco, Cree, Crestron, D-Link, Echelon, Eaton, Electrolux, Emerson, ESCO, Fujitsu, General Electric, Google, Haier Group, Haiwei, Halma, HP, Hitachi, Honeywell, Hubbell, IBM, Indesit, Ingersoll Rand, Itron, Johnson Controls, LEDvance, Leedarson, Legrand, Leviton, LG, Lowes, Lutron, Microsoft, Mitsubishi, National, Panasonic, Philips, Samsung, Schneider, Sensus, Siemens, Sharp, Stanley Black & Decker, Technicolor, Toshiba, Tyco, UTC, Whirlpool, Yale Security, Yokogawa...


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Table of Contents

Executive Summary
Report Scope
Methodology


Ecosystem
WSN Market Landscapes
Short Range Wireless
Fixed Wireless Sensor Networks
Mobile Sensing Outlook
Long Range Wireless
Total Potential Market Sizing
The Value System

Market Trends & Forces
Cloud Development
Smart Home
Adoption Trends
Consumer Drivers
Purchasing Considerations

Smart Buildings
Smart Industries
Smart Cities
Low Power Wide Area Networks (LPWAN)


Technology Dynamics
Summary
Mesh Networking
IP Addressable Sensors
Multi-Protocol Chips


Technologies & Standards Developments
IEEE 802.15.4
IEEE 802.15.4e
IEEE 802.15.4e Time-slotted Channel Hopping (TSCH)
IEEE 802.15.4k (Low Energy Critical Infrastructure Networks)
IEEE 802.15.4g (Smart Utility Networks)
ECHONET Consortium
Wi-SUN Alliance
Industrial WSN Standards
WirelessHART
ISA100.11a
WIA-PA
Zigbee
Zigbee PRO 2017
Zigbee 3.0
Zigbee Home Automation
Zigbee Light Link
Zigbee Building Automation
Zigbee Green Power
Smart Energy
Zigbee IP
JupiterMesh
Dotdot
The Thread Group
The Fairhair Alliance
IETF Standards
6LoWPAN
ROLL/RPL
CoRE/CoAP
6TiSCH
OMA SpecWorks

Open Source Initiatives
TinyOS
Contiki
FreeRTOS
Eclipse Foundation
MQTT
MQTT-SN
Californium CoAP Framework
OpenWSN

Competing Alternatives
WiFi
Bluetooth Low Energy
EnOcean
Z-Wave

Network Tests
Battery Comparison in Years by 1 to 3 Volt Node
1 Volt Chipset Test
Battery Comparison
Battery Lifetime Series Years
Energy Harvester Test

Global Total Market Size Forecasts
Methodology
Total WSN Chipsets Market – Moderate & Aggressive
Total WSN Chipsets by Landscape
Total WSN Chipsets by Market Segment
Total WSN Chipsets by Technology
802.15.4 Units - Moderate & Aggressive
802.15.4 Revenues - Moderate & Aggressive
802.15.4 Units by Target Market
802.15.4 Revenues by Market
802.15.4 Units by Solution
802.15.4 Revenues by Solution
802.15.4 Average Sale Prices
802.15.4 Units by Geography
802.15.4 Units by Protocol
802.15.4 Units by Topology
802.15.4 Units by Frequency
802.15.4 Units by Product Design

Target Markets

Smart Home
Trends & Developments
Value System
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Units by Application
Chipset/Module Revenues
Units by Protocol

Entertainment Controls
Trends & Developments
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Chipset/Module Revenues
Units by Protocol


Health & Wellness
Trends & Developments
Value System
End User Perspectives
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Units by Application
Chipset/Module Revenues

Buildings & Commercial Services
Trends & Developments
Value System
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Units by Application
Chipset/Module Revenues
Units by Protocol

Industrial, Logistics, Agriculture & Others
Trends & Developments
Value System
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Chipset/Module Revenues
Units by Protocol

AMI/Distributed Energy Resources
Trends & Developments
Value System
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Chipset/Module Revenues
Units by Protocol

Smart Cities
Trends & Developments
Value System
Market Size Forecasts
802.15.4 & Others
Moderate & Aggressive
Chipset/Module Revenues
Units by Protocol

Competitive Landscape

Chipsets
802.15.4 Market Shares
Product Segmentation
Chipset Profiles

Network Stacks & RF Modules

Product Segmentation
Stacks & Modules Profiles

Devices & Systems
Profiles

Software & Cloud Services
Profiles

Automation/IT Platforms
Profiles

List of Figures

Figure 1: Global 802.15.4 Mesh Devices (2017-2023)
Figure 2: Converging WSN Landscapes
Figure 3: Fixed WSN and Mobile Sensing
Figure 4: Global TPM for WSN Devices by Market
Figure 5: IoT Platforms Used
Figure 6: Smart Home 802.15.4 Growth by (Select) Product Segment
Figure 7: Most Likely Smart Home Solutions
Figure 8: Willing to Pay for a Smart Home Service
Figure 9: Most Commonly Used Smart Building IoT Technologies
Figure 10: Most Important Enterprise IoT Considerations
Figure 11: Industrial Wireless Mesh Field Device Growth
Figure 12: Adoption of WirelessHART & ISA100.11a
Figure 13: Most Important WSN Features
Figure 14: Satisfaction with WSN Systems
Figure 15: Installed Smart Streetlight Controllers by Technology
Figure 16: Industrial LPWA Awareness
Figure 17: LPWA Most Likely Types of Applications
Figure 18: Most Likely LPWAN Technologies in 10 Years
Figure 19: LPWA Percent of Connected IoT Devices in 10 Years
Figure 20: IEEE 802.15.4 Protocol Stack & Associated Standards
Figure 21: 1 Volt Battery Comparison in Years by Node
Figure 22: 1 Volt Node Battery Lifetime in Years
Figure 23: 3 Volt Node Battery Lifetime in Years
Figure 24: 1 Volt Radio Harvester Size
Figure 25: 3 Volt Radio Harvester Size
Figure 26: Global WSN Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 27: Global WSN Annual Units by Landscape (2017-2023)
Figure 28: Global WSN Annual Units by Market (2017-2023)
Figure 29: Global WSN Annual Units by Technology (2017-2023)
Figure 30: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 31: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 32: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Market (2017-2023)
Figure 33: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Market (2017-2023)
Figure 34: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 35: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 36: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module ASPs by Select Market (2017-2023)
Figure 37: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Geography (2017-2023)
Figure 38: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 39: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Topology (2017-2023)
Figure 40: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Frequency (2017-2023)
Figure 41: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Product Design (2017-2023)
Figure 42: The Smart Home Value System
Figure 43: Smart Home – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 44: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 45: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 46: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 47: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 48: Media Center – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 49: Media Center - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 50: Media Center - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues (2017-2023)
Figure 51: Media Center - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 52: Health & Wellness WSN Value System
Figure 53: Health/Wellness – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 54: Health/Fitness - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 55: Health/Fitness - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 56: Health/Fitness - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 57: Smart Building WSN Value System
Figure 58: Buildings – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 59: Buildings - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 60: Buildings - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 61: Buildings - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues (2017-2023)
Figure 62: Buildings - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 63: Industrial WSN Value System
Figure 64: Industrial – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 65: Industrial - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 66: Industrial - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 67: Industrial - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 68: AMI/DER Value System
Figure 69: AMI/DER – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 70: AMI/DER – 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 71: AMI/DER - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues (2017-2023)
Figure 72: AMI/DER - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 73: Smart City WSN Value System
Figure 74: Smart Cities – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Figure 75: Smart Cities - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Figure 76: Smart Cities - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Figure 77: Smart Cities - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Figure 78: IEEE 802.15.4 Chipsets - Disruption & Sustainability
Figure 79: IEEE 802.15.4 Unit Shipments Market Shares in 2017
Figure 80: Zigbee/Thread Unit Shipments Market Shares in 2017

Figure 81: Zigbee/802.15.4 Network Stacks & Modules - Disruption & Sustainability

List of Tables

Table 1: The 802.15.4 Value System
Table 2: Short Range Wireless Sensor Network Technologies
Table 3: Open Source WSN Initiatives
Table 4: LPWAN Technologies Summarized
Table 5: Battery Comparison in Years by 1 Volt Node
Table 6: Battery Comparison in Years by 3 Volt Node
Table 7: Global WSN Annual Units, Aggressive & Moderate (2017-2023)
Table 8: Global WSN Annual Units by Landscape (2017-2023)
Table 9: Global WSN Annual Units by Market (2017-2023)
Table 10: Global WSN Annual Units by Technology (2017-2023)
Table 11: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 12: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 13: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Market (2017-2023)
Table 14: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Market (2017-2023)
Table 15: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Table 16: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Table 17: Global 802.15.4 Chipset/Module ASPs by Select Market (2017-2023)
Table 18: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Geography (2017-2023)
Table 19: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 20: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Topology (2017-2023)
Table 21: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Frequency (2017-2023)
Table 22: Global 802.15.4 Annual Units by Product Design (2017-2023
Table 23: Smart Home – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 24: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 25: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Table 26: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Table 27: Smart Home - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 28: Media Center - WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 29: Media Center - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 30: Media Center - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues (2017-2023)
Table 31: Media Center - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 32: Health/Wellness – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 33: Health/Fitness - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 34: Health/Fitness- 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Table 35: Health/Fitness - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Table 36: Buildings – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 37: Buildings - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 38: Buildings - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Application (2017-2023)
Table 39: Buildings - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues (2017-2023)
Table 40: Buildings - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 41: Industrial – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 42: Industrial - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 43: Industrial - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Table 44: Industrial - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 45: AMI/DER – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 46: AMI/DER - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 47: AMI/DER - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues (2017-2023)
Table 48: AMI/DER - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 49: Smart Cities – WSN Annual Units, 802.15.4 & Others (2017-2023)
Table 50: Smart Cities - 802.15.4 Annual Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2017-2023)
Table 51: Smart Cities - 802.15.4 Chipset/Module Revenues by Application (2017-2023)
Table 52: Smart Cities - 802.15.4 Annual Units by Protocol (2017-2023)
Table 53: IEEE 802.15.4 Chipset Suppliers – Product Offerings
Table 54: Zigbee/802.15.4 Chipsets - Profiles
Table 55: Zigbee/802.15.4 Network Stacks & Modules - Product Offerings
Table 56: Zigbee/802.15.4 Network Stacks & Modules – Profiles
Table 57: Zigbee/802.15.4 Systems – Profiles
Table 58: Software/IoT Platforms – Profiles
Table 59: Platform Providers– Company Profiles


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